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islander

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Asian expert thinks China miscalculated
« on: May 16, 2012, 11:11:27 AM »
Asian expert thinks China miscalculated

“My own feeling is that the Chinese miscalculated. For nine years, the president, the unlamented Gloria Arroyo, let the Chinese have whatever they wanted, in return for personal favors — like the incredible broadband project, which allegedly carried with it a 50 percent cut to the first family (or more) and blew up in their faces.”

Scott added: “Washington has a president whose view of the world didn’t start with Europe, like every predecessor of his. Europe’s shine was dimming anyway. He started in Asia, having spent his boyhood in Jakarta and Hawaii. It gives that global map a different perspective. And interestingly, that perspective corresponded with the real trend in world politics, everything shifting perceptibly to Asia.”

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islander

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Re: Asian expert thinks China miscalculated
« Reply #1 on: May 16, 2012, 11:12:37 AM »
“Now some of the smartest Filipinos are saying that the best thing the Chinese could do for the Philippines is to blast its coast from its vastly superior navy. The country is already showing a rare unanimity and nationhood over the confrontation at the Scarborough Shoal in what Manila calls the West Philippine Sea. If Beijing not only bared its fangs but let loose the cannon, the whole world would react — on Manila’s side. The “work in progress” of building a really coherent Filipino nation would benefit enormously. Already Manila has said that its Balikatan (shared effort) exercises with the United States Navy would proceed, even as Beijing blames them anew for causing the rumpus.” Scott wrote.


islander

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Re: Asian expert thinks China miscalculated
« Reply #2 on: May 16, 2012, 11:13:32 AM »
Scott further elaborated: “So, when a senior Filipino adviser said that he hoped Beijing “bombs the hell out of us, because then the Philippines becomes a united nation”, he meant it. And of course he knows the consequences. ASEAN tightens up, solidarity all around, and Obama doubles the base in Darwin and Manila, renews long dormant but never dead ties (and tons of military assistance to the Philippines).”

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Re: Asian expert thinks China miscalculated
« Reply #3 on: May 16, 2012, 11:14:07 AM »
“That’s why smarter people in Beijing are having second thoughts; if for nothing else, for timing. It’s too soon for them to start baring the claws.” Scott closed his article.

Although Scott didn’t mention it, a great deal of the Chinese miscalculation was in underestimating the character of President Noynoy Aquino (P-Noy). P-Noy has been playing his cards right and maintaining equanimity all throughout this crisis. Evidently, P-Noy is no Gloria Macapagal Arroyo, whom a European ambassador suspects scuttled the MOA-AD after her trip to China.

islander

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Re: Asian expert thinks China miscalculated
« Reply #4 on: May 16, 2012, 11:14:36 AM »
China shouldn’t underestimate the impact of great leaders that can inspire David victories against bullying Goliaths. The Chinese can read about Leonidas of Sparta and Ho Chi Minh of Vietnam for starters. They should also read about how the Ancient Roman Empire was shocked when their highly touted Ninth Legion disappeared sans a trace in Caledonia, now Scotland. The Chinese should read what Germany’s Otto Von Bismarck said about God marching through history at certain crucial periods. They might become victims of unseen global landscape changing events.


islander

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Re: Asian expert thinks China miscalculated
« Reply #5 on: May 16, 2012, 11:15:20 AM »
China shouldn’t provoke Filipino greatness. If the Chinese still believe in the fates of nations being influenced by other unworldly powers, they should review the unusual circumstances that led to the rise of this Philippine president. 

Shakespeare: “Madness in great ones must never unwatched go.”

***

Note: The quoted Asian expert, W. Scott Thompson, is a Philippine and Asian expert, was a member of both the Ford and Reagan Administrations, has been adjunct professor of International Politics at Georgetown University and on the faculty of Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University, among other positions.


more at: Asian expert thinks China miscalculated
AS I WRECK THIS CHAIR By William M. Esposo
The Philippine Star
May 03, 2012
http://www.philstar.com/Article.aspx?articleId=803128&publicationSubCategoryId=64

Lorenzo

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Re: Asian expert thinks China miscalculated
« Reply #6 on: May 16, 2012, 02:11:11 PM »
Very interesting read. Thanks, Isles ! :)
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Re: Asian expert thinks China miscalculated
« Reply #7 on: May 16, 2012, 02:24:09 PM »
Very inspiring. It gives us hope.
Romans 10:9-10
"If you declare with your mouth, Jesus is Lord, and believe in your heart that God raised him from the dead, you will be saved. For it is with your heart that you believe and are justified, and it is with your mouth that you profess your faith and are saved."

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Re: Asian expert thinks China miscalculated
« Reply #8 on: May 17, 2012, 04:57:47 PM »
Sulong mga insurectus!!!  ;D

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