TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 3
Tropical Depression
Issued at 11:00 AM, 30 October 2022
Valid for broadcast until the next advisory at 11:00 PM today
THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION OUTSIDE THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR) MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD
• Location of Center (10:00 AM):
The center of the Tropical Depression was estimated based on all available data at 1,250 km East of Northeastern Mindanao (9.0°N, 137.7°E)
• Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 55 km/h, and central pressure of 1004 hPa
• Present Movement:
West northwestward 15 km/h
• Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong winds extend outwards up to 110 km from the center
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall
• Today: Moderate to heavy rains possible over Zambales, Bataan, Aurora, Pangasinan, Batanes, and the northern portion of Cagayan including Babuyan Islands. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains possible over Metro Manila, Cordillera Administrative Region, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Camarines Provinces, Western Visayas, and the rest of Cagayan Valley and Central Luzon.
• Except in areas with significant antecedent rainfall or those still experiencing persistent heavy rainfall, flooding and rain-induced landslides are likely to slowly subside.
Severe Winds
Winds reaching gale-force strength may still be experienced any of the areas where Wind Signal No. 2 is in effect. Areas under Wind Signal No.1 may experience strong winds (strong breeze to near gale strength) throughout the passage of the tropical cyclone.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
Under the influence of the surge of the Northeast Monsoon and PAENG, a marine gale warning remains in effect over the seaboards of Luzon and the western and eastern seaboards of Visayas. For more information, refer to Gale Warning #14 issued at 5:00 AM today.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• PAENG is forecast to track generally west southwestward in the next 12 hours while decelerating before turning north northwestward or northwestward through Tuesday. By Wednesday, PAENG will begin to turn west northwestward towards southern China. On the forecast track, this tropical cyclone may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility tomorrow morning or afternoon.
• While over the West Philippine Sea, PAENG is forecast to re-intensify into a severe tropical storm within 24 hours and may reach typhoon category by tomorrow evening or on Tuesday morning. However, a weakening trend is expected by late Tuesday as the tropical cyclone encounters another surge of the Northeast Monsoon.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 5:00 PM today.
DOST-PAGASA
Link: bit.ly/3qzOpdF
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