Jul 30th 2015, 23:50 BY J.W. & S.R.
JUST when it looked like calm had been restored to China’s stockmarket, share prices nosedived in the last hour of trading on July 30th. Stocks listed on the ChiNext, an exchange for start-ups, fell 4.9%, while the CSI300, an index of bigger companies, slid 2.9%. It was the latest stomach-churning session in a wild few months. Since soaring to their peak in early June, Chinese stocks have dropped by nearly a third (see first chart). Authorities have resorted to heavy-handed measures to prop up swooning share prices, from pressuring banks to buy stocks to blocking big investors from selling theirs. The wisdom of such intervention is highly dubious, but many analysts and investors had at least expected it would be effective. Why is China finding it so hard to save its stockmarket?
The short answer is that, for all the government's involvement, China's stockmarket is still a market, and there are now more sellers than buyers. Even with the steep fall since early June, Chinese shares are up some 70% in the past year. Small-cap stocks, the focus of so much of the trading, remain too expensive. The price-to-earnings ratio of stocks listed on the ChiNext is 95, about twice the typical value for high-growth companies in more mature markets. Had China's stockmarket been allowed to crash, shares would have eventually found a floor. Instead, regulators have tried to erect a floor, and investors are not sure whether it really is the low point or just another artificial bottom susceptible to collapse.
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