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Author Topic: Who Will Win Control of the South China Sea?  (Read 2520 times)

islander

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Who Will Win Control of the South China Sea?
« on: October 28, 2013, 01:47:27 AM »
A Game of Shark And Minnow

By Jeff Himmelman
Photographs and video by Ashley Gilbertson
The New York Times Magazine



excerpt:

What China has done with Mischief, Scarborough and now with Ayungin is what the journalist Robert Haddick described, writing in Foreign Policy, as “salami slicing” or “the slow accumulation of actions, none of which is a casus belli, but which add up over time to a major strategic change.” Huang Jing, the director of the Center on Asia and Globalization at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy in Singapore, noted that in all of these conflicts — Scarborough, Ayungin — China insists on sending its civilian maritime force, which is theoretically unarmed. This has a powerful double significance: first, that the Chinese don’t want to start a war, even though in many ways they are playing the aggressor; and second, that they view any matter in the South China Sea as an internal affair. As Huang put it: “What China is doing is putting both hands behind its back and using its big belly to push you out, to dare you to hit first. And this has been quite effective.”

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islander

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Re: Who Will Win Control of the South China Sea?
« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2013, 01:50:39 AM »
the side of the Philippines:


Servicemen Roel Sarucam, Joey Loresto, Charlie Claro, Lionel Pepito, Israel Briguera and Antonio Olayra on the deck of the Sierra Madre.

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islander

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Re: Who Will Win Control of the South China Sea?
« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2013, 01:52:35 AM »



About 120 people live at any one time on Pag-asa, including civilians.

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islander

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Re: Who Will Win Control of the South China Sea?
« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2013, 01:54:43 AM »



Lawak is a circle of crushed-coral beach enclosing scrub grass, palm trees, 11 worn Filipino troops and one basketball court.

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Republic Act 8485 (Animal Welfare Act of 1998, Philippines), as amended and strengthened by House  Bill 6893 of 2013--- violation means a maximum of P250,000 fine with a corresponding three-year jail term and a minimum of P30,000 fine and six months imprisonment

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islander

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Re: Who Will Win Control of the South China Sea?
« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2013, 01:57:21 AM »
the china side:


Anchored just outside the reef were about 20 enormous Chinese fishing boats, along with 50 or so smaller sampans busily working.

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Republic Act 8485 (Animal Welfare Act of 1998, Philippines), as amended and strengthened by House  Bill 6893 of 2013--- violation means a maximum of P250,000 fine with a corresponding three-year jail term and a minimum of P30,000 fine and six months imprisonment

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islander

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Re: Who Will Win Control of the South China Sea?
« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2013, 01:59:10 AM »

At the southwest corner sat a complex of concrete multistory structures, including a large-domed radar station, a helipad and a dormitory.

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Republic Act 8485 (Animal Welfare Act of 1998, Philippines), as amended and strengthened by House  Bill 6893 of 2013--- violation means a maximum of P250,000 fine with a corresponding three-year jail term and a minimum of P30,000 fine and six months imprisonment

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islander

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Re: Who Will Win Control of the South China Sea?
« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2013, 02:53:20 AM »
The entire world has an interest in the South China Sea, but China has nearly 1.4 billion mouths and a growing appetite for nationalism to feed, which is a kind of pressure that no other country can understand. What will happen will happen, whatever the letter of the Asean code of conduct or however the arbitration turns out. Loresto and Yanto, meanwhile, still abide on the Sierra Madre, fishing for their subsistence and watching the surf to see what wave the Chinese will choose to ride in on.

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islander

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Re: Who Will Win Control of the South China Sea?
« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2013, 02:58:44 AM »
“You’ve got the wrong science-fiction movie,” one former highly placed U.S. official later told me, when I described what we saw at Subi, and what it might mean for the guys on Ayungin. “It’s not the Death Star. It’s actually the Borg from ‘Star Trek’: ‘You will be assimilated. Resistance is futile.’ ” The scholar Huang Jing put it another, more organic way. “The Chinese expand like a forest, very slowly,” he said. “But once they get there, they never leave.”

Editor: Joel Lovell

Jeff Himmelman is a contributing writer for the magazine and the author of “Yours in Truth: A Personal Portrait of Ben Bradlee.” He last wrote for the magazine about Frank Ocean.


for the complete infographics, please go to http://www.nytimes.com/newsgraphics/2013/10/27/south-china-sea/

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Republic Act 8485 (Animal Welfare Act of 1998, Philippines), as amended and strengthened by House  Bill 6893 of 2013--- violation means a maximum of P250,000 fine with a corresponding three-year jail term and a minimum of P30,000 fine and six months imprisonment

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Lorenzo

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Re: Who Will Win Control of the South China Sea?
« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2013, 10:12:09 AM »
The scholar Huang Jing put it another, more organic way. “The Chinese expand like a forest, very slowly,” he said. “But once they get there, they never leave.”

...and the Singaporean Chinese scholar speaks without hesitation. But i like his use of simile of the Chinese as a forest. Are they like the walking ents in Lord of the Rings attacking Sauron's stronghold in Isengard?

::)   :-\

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islander

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Re: Who Will Win Control of the South China Sea?
« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2013, 05:51:31 PM »
i hope our president is not sauron.

seriously, in the context of our current political corruption scandal by the billions, we really have no foresight.  imagine having this ragtag team out there, without much support, while some of our leaders, and sadly some generals in the past, line their pockets with money that's not theirs? 

saying we're the minnow here is to be kind.  we're actually small fry.

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Republic Act 8485 (Animal Welfare Act of 1998, Philippines), as amended and strengthened by House  Bill 6893 of 2013--- violation means a maximum of P250,000 fine with a corresponding three-year jail term and a minimum of P30,000 fine and six months imprisonment

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islander

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Re: Who Will Win Control of the South China Sea?
« Reply #10 on: October 28, 2013, 06:11:48 PM »
the analogy in this enlightening article:

shark: china

size: from 17 centimeters to 12 meters
feeding: carnvorous, ambush predators, some practice ram feeding and suction feeding

minnow: philippines

size: 5 centimeters average for adult minnow
feeding: bottom debris, vegetation, and small crustaceans

Linkback: https://tubagbohol.mikeligalig.com/index.php?topic=76459.0
Republic Act 8485 (Animal Welfare Act of 1998, Philippines), as amended and strengthened by House  Bill 6893 of 2013--- violation means a maximum of P250,000 fine with a corresponding three-year jail term and a minimum of P30,000 fine and six months imprisonment

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